Oval-Essential
0xeb035066e10df642b616e3d38723727b9eed5d15
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$151.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
949 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$906.11
$137.58
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
612 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 5, 2026$597.91
$3.21
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
544 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$519.23
$19.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$100.95
$0.95
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.15
$-3.85
- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
86 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 3, 2026$84.99
$0.99
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.68
$0.68
- NO
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 3, 2026$19.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$10.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$500.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?$10.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$10.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$10.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$20.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?$10.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.6810h ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.4313h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.2013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.0413h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$42.4717h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$52.2317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$100.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$10.0019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$10.0019h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$2.5K19h ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$12.8219h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$64.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$2.4K2d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $250.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 54d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".