Zesty-Disappointment
0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$218.0K
Total PnL
$-214.1K
Realised
$-25.9K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
80382 shares @ 90.1¢·now 79.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$63.7K
$-8.7K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
47162 shares @ 89.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$37.5K
$-4.7K
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
28057 shares @ 80.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.6K
$2.1K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
35592 shares @ 85.2¢·now 57.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.6K
$-9.7K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
22238 shares @ 87.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.2K
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15944 shares @ 79.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.6K
$-117.42
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
8873 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$8.6K
$453.31
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
8979 shares @ 83.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$7.8K
$277.59
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6465 shares @ 64.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.1K
$-84.94
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
3498 shares @ 91.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.3K
$94.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$636.00Jul 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$985.00Jul 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$1.6KJul 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2.5KJul 21, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$1.4KJul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$3.9KJul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$84.00Jul 21, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$914.00Jul 21, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$704.00Jul 21, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.7KJul 21, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$339.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$704.00Jul 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?$1.0KJul 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$320.00Jul 20, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$84.00Jul 20, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$403.33Jul 20, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$526.00Jul 20, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$241.00Jul 20, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.8KJul 20, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2.6KJul 20, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$19.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
48%
Window
Jul 14, 12:10 UTC → Jul 16, 14:57 UTC
- BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$9.2K@93¢Jul 16, 14:57 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$9.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$9.2K
1 trades
Buy share
48%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$9.9K · 52% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.