Orderly-Planet
0xeb4b81a57dd209147b6dc99c03f843201a515166
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-3.2K
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
400 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$400.00
$104.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2320 shares @ 20.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$359.60
$-124.19
- NO
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
9863 shares @ 10.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$330.40
$-695.65
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
12349 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$197.58
$-111.33
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.00
$-85.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
300 shares @ 73.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.50
$-44.50
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
400 shares @ 41.3¢·now 32.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.80
$-34.40
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 46.7¢·now 59.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.30
$25.80
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 18.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$116.00
$-35.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$85.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.00Jun 2, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$15.30Jun 2, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.70Jun 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.99Jun 1, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$13.01Jun 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$10.00Jun 1, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$60.00Jun 1, 20:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 31, 15:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$36.00May 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22.00May 30, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.02May 30, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.32May 30, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$14.62May 30, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$9.37May 30, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$0.25May 29, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.17May 29, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $46.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".