Juicy-Individual
0xeb5000c0ca78353ee1c7dc5d8cab5b555d957c07
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$10.94
Total PnL
$-52.43
Realised
$-1.09
Win rate
0%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$9.52
$-0.48
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$1.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
29 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.04
$-2.52
- YES
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
9 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.06Aug 12, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.24Aug 12, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.78Jul 20, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jul 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$4.55Jul 19, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.56Jul 15, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$12.20Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$6.96Jul 12, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$2.99Jul 11, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Jul 7, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score$2.80Jul 6, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$1.64Jul 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1.42Jul 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$1.01Jul 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jul 5, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.37Jul 3, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.94Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.08Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
38 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.