0xeb5104b542ae31c759a71563fb613b720a2baee5
0xeb5104b542ae31c759a71563fb613b720a2baee5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$3.75
Total PnL
$-445.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 40.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7 shares @ 14.9¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.56
$-4.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
186 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
117 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 22?$1.05Jul 22, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$0.98Jul 21, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 20?$0.18Jul 20, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?$1.95Jul 20, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$1.76Jul 20, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 20?$16.43Jul 20, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?$0.40Jul 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?$5.30Jul 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$20.72Jul 20, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?$0.12Jul 20, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?$24.05Jul 20, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$10.39Jul 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$10.47Jul 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 17?$3.65Jul 17, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$20.94Jul 16, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.11Jul 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$10.46Jul 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$1.01Jul 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$41.73Jul 15, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$15.15Jul 15, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.