Buzzing-Trophy
0xeb54562f0132336a725d1303f6110136161dd452
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$-6.2K
Win rate
3%
92 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
177 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$177.15
$4.65
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
164 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$163.98
$17.02
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
115 shares @ 43.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$69.34
$20.06
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
75 shares @ 77.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.69
$2.17
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
109 shares @ 71.6¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.10
$-25.25
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
55 shares @ 88.9¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.09
$3.95
- NO
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
59 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.57
$3.27
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
119 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$51.91
$-7.76
- NO
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
59 shares @ 83.3¢·now 84.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.07
$0.77
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
50 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.98
$0.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?$27.60Jul 28, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5$0.08Jul 23, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 16?$6.00Jul 23, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 17?$16.00Jul 23, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 17?$18.31Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 15?$22.65Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 16?$24.98Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 17?$24.98Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 15?$24.99Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 16?$24.99Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 17?$25.00Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 16?$25.00Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on July 15?$25.00Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 17?$25.00Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 17?$25.00Jul 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 17?$25.00Jul 23, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 16?$25.00Jul 23, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 16?$25.00Jul 23, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 16?$25.00Jul 23, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 17?$25.00Jul 23, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 92 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
92 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 92 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.