Austere-Stag
0xeb9b30074c2656f9d77484de48bada000e0bd718
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-551.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
29000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will RB Leipzig vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1864 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?
286 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 15 seconds or longer?
222 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?
219 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
159 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?$1.00Mar 7, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$1.00Mar 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.16Mar 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$11.51Jan 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico only be photographed shaking hands?$3.00Jan 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 15 seconds or longer?$19.00Jan 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$2.33Jan 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$3.14Jan 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$3.37Jan 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.94Jan 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.64Jan 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$16.00Jan 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$5.94Dec 20, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$6.20Dec 20, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$6.66Dec 20, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$21.13Dec 20, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.05Dec 8, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$3.11Dec 2, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$20.88Dec 2, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".