Huge-Crook
0xebdc7650c1a441894071899c2941eea0bd5fbf08
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-634.47
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2339 shares @ 47.6¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$-108.29
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2878 shares @ 24.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$775.61
$60.40
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
60519 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$393.37
$-211.82
- NO
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?
194 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$191.57
$11.15
- NO
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.00
$7.00
- NO
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
205 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.57
$9.22
- NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
193 shares @ 90.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.11
$4.29
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
149 shares @ 93.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.27
$6.32
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.50
$7.50
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.50
$3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$1.34Jul 29, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$33.97Jul 29, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$2.02Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$26.22Jul 29, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$5.38Jul 28, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?$99.25Jul 28, 10:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?$27.60Jul 27, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?$7.56Jul 27, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?$6.43Jul 27, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?$7.90Jul 27, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?$2.22Jul 27, 10:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?$9.00Jul 26, 13:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$129.00Jul 25, 06:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$7.92Jul 24, 22:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $23.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.