Carefree-Webmail
0xec23ea8cfc0caa9775b6c24477c19f58b484bfba
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$69.61
Total PnL
$-215.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.66
$16.66
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.95
$7.95
- YES
Will Amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Xi visit the US before September?
659 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 9 straight weeks?
510 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?
428 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- COLTS
Packers vs. Colts
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
296 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Obama federally charged in 2025?
261 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators$91.74Apr 29, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$20.00Mar 26, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones$20.00Mar 26, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators$5.00Mar 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators$15.00Mar 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?$10.00Mar 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.00Mar 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$5.00Feb 1, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?$2.00Dec 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?$4.00Dec 3, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$4.00Dec 3, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 9 straight weeks?$5.00Nov 28, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks?$6.00Nov 28, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$25.00Nov 28, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$5.00Nov 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$5.00Nov 12, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$5.00Nov 12, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?$10.00Nov 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5.00Nov 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$138.56Nov 12, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".