Vapid-Breakpoint
0xec41bea5cba6366ec364ded806e24ee1a3e91134
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
79%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1400 shares @ 85.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$121.50
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
996 shares @ 73.2¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$786.84
$57.33
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$720.00
$50.03
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
700 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$650.66
$16.80
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
1010 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$500.02
$5.05
- YES
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
628 shares @ 65.1¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$357.80
$-50.68
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
400 shares @ 65.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$310.00
$49.85
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$181.00
$35.00
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
200 shares @ 78.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.00
$4.00
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
138 shares @ 91.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$136.11
$9.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$93.38Jun 14, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$78.19Jun 14, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$318.50Jun 14, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$4.97Jun 14, 10:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner$90.35Jun 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner$87.68Jun 13, 10:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$7.38Jun 12, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$7.16Jun 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$2.09Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?$61.38Jun 12, 11:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.25Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$100.00Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$86.36Jun 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$41.76Jun 11, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$615.03Jun 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$198.80Jun 11, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$126.07Jun 11, 01:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $79.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.