Fragrant-Fur
0xec52da8ce6ddf1743240f86d643b47d7459059e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$391.91
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$26.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
372 shares @ 49.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.47
$-5.72
- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?
75 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$74.51
$12.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?
63 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.84
$9.29
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
49 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.08
$0.58
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
50 shares @ 37.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.00
$6.37
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
500 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-13.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2PM ET
415 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-151.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7AM ET
391 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-149.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2AM ET
330 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-179.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$19.10May 15, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.66May 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.66May 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?$62.67May 15, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?$36.77May 15, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?$17.10May 15, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$26.18May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$49.95May 15, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$50.00May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$184.19May 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$110.17May 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$124.58May 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$44.70May 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$42.27May 12, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$23.00May 12, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$17.42May 12, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$43.81May 12, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$1.07May 12, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$131.00May 1, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$164.51May 1, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $33.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".