Pungent-Ptarmigan
0xec550c246e7893bd523e236a8af03f24022fa300
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-857.74
Realised
$-56.14
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8273 shares @ 40.1¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.4K
$35.52
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2400 shares @ 84.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$13.10
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
958 shares @ 82.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$675.10
$-114.00
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia place 1st in the Antioquia Department?
500 shares @ 71.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$415.00
$60.00
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
746 shares @ 29.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$272.44
$55.98
- NO
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 98.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$122.06
$-14.65
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?
35 shares @ 40.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.77
$12.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
2145 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
778 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
609 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$11.69May 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$17.71May 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00May 27, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.0KMay 27, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.0KMay 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.49May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.42May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$26.19May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.91May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.94May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.91May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.91May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.91May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$25.75May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$940.76May 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$74.25May 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.0KMay 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$868.83May 27, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$140.66May 27, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $372.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".