0xec5625bde94bdf224d6d941e612a403989921816
0xec5625bde94bdf224d6d941e612a403989921816
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$14.4K
Total PnL
$13.6K
Realised
$13.1K
Win rate
67%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16617 shares @ 32.8¢·now 36.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.1K
$606.74
- NO
Belgium vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?
3217 shares @ 93.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.0K
$-6.49
- NO
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?
3113 shares @ 57.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.8K
$6.01
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
468 shares @ 89.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$427.82
$7.34
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2019 shares @ 17.0¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$372.47
$29.96
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
650 shares @ 42.2¢·now 45.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$294.73
$20.41
- NO
Senegal leading at halftime?
332 shares @ 77.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$257.58
$0.83
- NO
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?
265 shares @ 94.3¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$249.91
$0.18
- NO
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
300 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$229.13
$1.51
- SENEGAL
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
382 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$147.07
$-5.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$18.38Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$16.12Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$9.95Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$9.95Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$17.22Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$16.12Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$15.11Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$9.15Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$8.57Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$16.19Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$17.30Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$17.22Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$9.95Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$17.21Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$16.12Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$3.86Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$10.93Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$6.08Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$17.22Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$6.49Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
74/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
39 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $29.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.