Second-Hand-Promise
0xec8836e563549d27669de65c845617e8c25da07e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$133.44
Total PnL
$-3.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
134 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.44
$-0.07
- YES
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
194 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- ETCHEVERRY
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musetti
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- KALINSKAYA
Pan Pacific Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Linda Noskova
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$133.51May 8, 07:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$179.78Apr 20, 10:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$179.97Apr 12, 19:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$264.54Mar 26, 07:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 25, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 24, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 23, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 22, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $196.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".