Overdue-Cayenne
0xecba4e454601be69b3ba7f8861db18364b96c488
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$15.92
Total PnL
$-412.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.25
$4.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
3 shares @ 89.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.31
$0.31
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 43.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.34
$-1.16
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?
635 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-304.79
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
85 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-71.93
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?
56 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-35.58
- YES
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$4.00May 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 9, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$6.03May 9, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$10.02May 9, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$20.13May 9, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$10.00Apr 20, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$6.00Apr 20, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$20.00Apr 20, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.06Apr 20, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$10.87Apr 20, 17:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Mar 23, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$6.15Mar 22, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$47.62Mar 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$6.00Mar 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.70Mar 16, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?$3.00Mar 16, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$2.50Mar 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?$3.00Mar 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$30.00Mar 16, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $49.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.