Outgoing-Exaggeration
0xecdc24b72624b1173463ae23dd5e64e42b29dce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$207.25
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1429 shares @ 14.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.25
$-2.93
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
2020 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-927.21
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
989 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- ECSTATIC
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$952.29May 16, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$25.00Apr 18, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$154.65Feb 24, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$55.53Feb 19, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$5.00Feb 6, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$100.00Feb 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 5?$0.09Feb 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 5?$0.04Feb 4, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 5?$0.42Feb 4, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 5?$0.20Feb 4, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on February 5?$0.55Feb 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 5?$0.79Feb 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 4?$48.51Feb 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 4?$0.16Feb 4, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 4?$0.06Feb 4, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on February 5?$1.40Feb 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 4?$1.37Feb 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 4?$1.88Feb 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 5?$0.94Feb 4, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 5?$0.03Feb 4, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $32.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".