Neat-Derivation
0xed3c0cdacbdf0b580b516b77eeacbb756a658ae5
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
101
Open notional
$78.13
Total PnL
$-23.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- NO
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.15
$1.15
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 9.4¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$2.10
$1.10
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
287 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$1.0210h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYOver $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?$0.4710h ago
- TRADEBUYOver $300M committed to the ALIGN public sale?$1.0710h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.0410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.0510h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
