Fickle-Boat
0xed671033620ed36021bb96818486d5991c3e0112
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$249.75
Total PnL
$-350.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
250 shares @ 61.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$218.75
$66.25
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$20.00
$16.40
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.00
$3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 21?
3190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
550 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-82.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
500 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.96
- YES
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
423 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-133.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.08May 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 9 countries in 2026?$7.90May 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$29.28May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 9 countries in 2026?$0.00Mar 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$18.17Mar 14, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.83Mar 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?$4.09Mar 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$21.46Mar 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$15.79Mar 11, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?$15.59Mar 10, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?$1.72Mar 4, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?$5.38Mar 4, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?$3.23Mar 4, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 9 countries in 2026?$6.45Mar 4, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$40.70Feb 27, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$90.00Feb 27, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$135.00Feb 27, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$92.41Feb 26, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$34.03Feb 26, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 14:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".