Subdued-Acetate
0xed8b5b225faf994e90a7c88c3d0721eb567b2684
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.40
Total PnL
$-6.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.35
$0.35
- NO
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.53
$0.53
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.35
$-2.65
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.00Jan 16, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.00Jan 16, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$3.00Jan 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.00Jan 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.94Jan 13, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.01Jan 13, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aztec launch a token in 2025?$6.17Jan 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.00Dec 24, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMOver 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.01Dec 24, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 24, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.03Dec 24, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.00Dec 5, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMKinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.01Dec 5, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.00Nov 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$4.00Nov 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.79Nov 28, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.06Nov 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $2.00Nov 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.00Nov 28, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aztec launch a token in 2025?$5.00Nov 14, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $323.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".