Third-Opera
0xed9099bf6b722ee77cc7a8a7df98dbef22f02ba7
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$103.65
Total PnL
$-31.57
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$39.73
$-10.28
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
34 shares @ 67.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.78
$-0.08
- YES
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
24 shares @ 59.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$16.60
$2.60
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.30
$0.10
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
55 shares @ 36.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.24
$-8.92
- NO
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
8 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$17.882d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$20.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$13.855d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?$13.325d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$3.105d ago
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.035d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$3.015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.305d ago
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.175d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.175d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.355d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$2.985d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.675d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.385d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$5.185d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$18.007d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April?$18.277d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$2.967d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$2.967d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".