Infatuated-Devastation
0xeda045f91a24d199f78ef1f591fbbe6a5b517dff
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-447.47
Realised
$454.75
Win rate
56%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?
485 shares @ 95.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$457.60
$-6.29
- NO
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
499 shares @ 70.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$359.28
$9.98
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
652 shares @ 30.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$257.35
$56.56
- NO
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
277 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$243.76
$0.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
239 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$232.58
$2.79
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
299 shares @ 76.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$228.83
$0.20
- NO
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
196 shares @ 64.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$185.99
$60.40
- YES
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
300 shares @ 56.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.06
$12.01
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
380 shares @ 44.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$169.10
$0.63
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
208 shares @ 92.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$163.29
$-28.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?$1.49Jul 31, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?$7.99Jul 31, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?$0.30Jul 31, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?$2.30Jul 31, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?$0.00Jul 31, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$1.42Jul 31, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?$14.70Jul 31, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?$1.17Jul 31, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?$58.64Jul 31, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?$3.34Jul 31, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?$19.25Jul 31, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?$0.35Jul 31, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NEC Nijmegen win on 2026-07-31?$69.30Jul 31, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 1?$0.69Jul 31, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-07-31?$3.35Jul 31, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-07-31?$107.20Jul 31, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 31?$5.07Jul 31, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 31?$5.00Jul 31, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 31?$13.75Jul 31, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$14.05Jul 31, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
54 closed markets, 56% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.