0xedb51eb6e75c9ede4e96c3aa1e15cc24bf113fe1
0xedb51eb6e75c9ede4e96c3aa1e15cc24bf113fe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$146.97
Total PnL
$13.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 37.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$75.00
$47.00
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
60 shares @ 43.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.70
$3.45
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
35 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.32
$0.17
- NO
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.00
$4.40
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
15 shares @ 36.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.42
$2.02
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.00
$2.40
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.52
$-0.23
- YES
BitBoy convicted?
59 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.28
- YES
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.82
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.33Mar 26, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.12Mar 26, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.05Mar 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Mar 21, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.10Mar 21, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.80Mar 21, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.45Mar 21, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.05Mar 20, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.80Mar 20, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.80Mar 20, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.80Mar 20, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.75Mar 20, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.45Mar 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$0.99Mar 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$0.39Mar 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$0.24Mar 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$0.24Mar 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Mar 18, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$1.65Mar 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.45Mar 17, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.