0xedbc3132e501f2680c7ca6b36b446cdac0a0c303
0xedbc3132e501f2680c7ca6b36b446cdac0a0c303
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$26.33
Total PnL
$-6.62
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
12 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.44
$-0.06
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.28
$0.28
- NO
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
2 shares @ 81.9¢·now 86.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.56
$0.06
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$1.55
$0.05
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.54
$0.04
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.54
$0.04
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.51
$0.01
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.50
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?$1.51Aug 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?$1.51Aug 2, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.54Aug 2, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1.50Aug 2, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026?$1.50Aug 2, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?$1.52Aug 2, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.54Aug 2, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.54Aug 2, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 3 2026?$1.50Aug 2, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?$1.52Aug 2, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026?$1.51Aug 2, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?$1.50Aug 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$20.07Aug 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.56Aug 1, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$1.59Aug 1, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.50Aug 1, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.50Aug 1, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.50Aug 1, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?$3.34Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.76Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.