Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Probability
23¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-16.2pp
24h Vol
$520.47
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-20.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5994.8h
- 05:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5995h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.8pp
to 23¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.7pp
to 23¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.2pp
to 23¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.9pp
to 23¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 40¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 40¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 39¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 39¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 39¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 38¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 38¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 38¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 41¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.6pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.4pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.8pp
to 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Bryan Johnson recently made public his relationship with co-founder Kate Tolo (https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1995953490930401334). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bryan Johnson proposes to Kate Tolo by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is definitively determined that Bryan Johnson and Kate Tolo have ended their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be photo or video of the proposal, or official statements of Bryan Johnson, Kate Tolo, or their legal representatives, otherwise a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (40.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).