Tight-Autoimmunity
0xedc1acb3cc5014cee492a95b32ff3357902856b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$8.60
Total PnL
$-249.87
Realised
$11.60
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.60
$0.30
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic’s Claude Sonnet 4.5 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
344 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.86
- YES
Will Kimi’s Kimi K2 Thinking win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
253 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will Google’s Gemini 3 Pro win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
170 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.19
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
146 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
142 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.52
- YES
Will Kimi’s Kimi K2 Thinking lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
140 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
125 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?$11.10Apr 24, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?$14.96Apr 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?$8.47Apr 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$240.00Mar 29, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$250.00Mar 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$25.02Mar 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.00Mar 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$11.64Mar 28, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$10.21Mar 28, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2.54Mar 28, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?$1.80Mar 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?$4.00Mar 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?$5.00Mar 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?$3.00Mar 17, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 12,000 in 2026?$28.56Mar 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?$18.60Mar 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 12,000 in 2026?$20.10Mar 17, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?$3.90Mar 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?$4.80Mar 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?$8.30Mar 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $30.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".