Responsible-Medicine
0xedf3ddf13fcc925f757144c2568e942dcb136ab6
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.01
Total PnL
$-337.20
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
7 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$0.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Magic
101 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
84 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Clippers
82 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Heat
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
64 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.43
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
62 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Suns
59 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-21.86
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Lakers
56 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?$1.00Jul 21, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 12?$1.07Jul 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 12?$1.07Jul 11, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.50Jul 11, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$1.12Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$1.11Jun 25, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.50May 23, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.53May 5, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$1.10May 2, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.01May 1, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.02May 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00May 1, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?$1.10May 1, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.29May 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$10.52May 1, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?$1.10Apr 30, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$10.41Apr 30, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.29Apr 29, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.50Apr 26, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.