Frosty-Kimono
0xeecd4548a9b8b10716ac9eb379279e546e4c9faa
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.6K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
6804 shares @ 70.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.9K
$112.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
2877 shares @ 86.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.8K
$315.21
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
2800 shares @ 71.4¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.6K
$555.19
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
2581 shares @ 81.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.3K
$183.95
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10968 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.2K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1352 shares @ 37.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$601.47
$101.47
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?
122 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$121.92
$1.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
599 shares @ 83.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.89
$-443.11
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
1881 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
480 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.38Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.43Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.43Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$1.35Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.35Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.35Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.35Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.32Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.31Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.