Clear-Description
0xef0e68d2c4ea76433c0170ce4078733782c106f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$657.69
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5056 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$436.86
$-8.09
- YES
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
1462 shares @ 15.4¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$116.96
$-107.73
- YES
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
124273 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$62.14
$-68.72
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
56333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$28.17
$-34.81
- YES
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
19738 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.87
$-18.12
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.67
$-8.33
- YES
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.25
$-8.75
- YES
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1022 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.51
$-15.49
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
552 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.28
$-29.72
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
115567 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$117.6522h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$108.081d ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$5.201d ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$465.241d ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$3.121d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$204.9815d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$120.9418d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$53.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$17.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$105.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$60.0022d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$8.0022d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.0029d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.0029d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.0029d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.0029d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $34.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 48d ago
- Last active
- 22h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
