0xef3fbdb14129a5288a7fbc2fca027b16c94af76d
0xef3fbdb14129a5288a7fbc2fca027b16c94af76d
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-6.03
Realised
$-1.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
1204 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-3.61
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
601 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$595.59
$0.00
- YES
Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
605 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$595.59May 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.82May 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.43May 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$590.22May 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$590.82May 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$568.72May 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$569.29May 15, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$610.93May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$611.54May 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$596.21May 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$596.80May 14, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$586.82May 14, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$587.41May 14, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00May 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.58May 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.16May 13, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?$0.56May 11, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?$1.12May 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$11.34May 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$11.94May 11, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $441.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".