Enormous-Response
0xef81d624c2a97f7fd88ff732fc14298c0be1437b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.81
Total PnL
$-389.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.81
$2.81
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
6095 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
503 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
346 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-79.50
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
217 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
210 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
208 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$76.92Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$9.54Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$10.36Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$62.31Jul 11, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$20.74Jul 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$20.25Jul 11, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: Any Other Score?$40.00Jul 4, 21:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $22.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.