Spiffy-Doughnut
0xefa4b3de92087eaa0faa278b3131b777448d5c4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.94
Total PnL
$-48.77
Realised
$-1.40
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?$1.00Jun 10, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$1.03Jun 10, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.17Jun 10, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.12Jun 10, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.03Jun 10, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.03Jun 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.10Jun 10, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.10Jun 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.81Jun 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.07Jun 10, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.13Jun 10, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jun 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.11Jun 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.89Jun 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.16Jun 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.07Jun 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.06Jun 10, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.