Understated-Patient
0xefde9ff487fae209ab6e3157a8acb4276f9c783d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$3.3K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
79%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2626 shares @ 36.6¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$232.63
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2049 shares @ 55.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-72.97
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5000 shares @ 11.2¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$912.50
$354.67
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$890.00
$30.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$800.00
$0.00
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
800 shares @ 75.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$796.80
$192.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2673 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$441.02
$66.82
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 35.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.46
$232.46
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
3520 shares @ 11.8¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$387.18
$-26.73
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$292.50
$7.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$93.59Jun 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$6.92Jun 14, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$503.19Jun 14, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$356.81Jun 14, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$285.00Jun 14, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$129.68Jun 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$16.77Jun 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$2.95Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$5.31Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$5.31Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$6.49Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$6.34Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$2.36Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$10.04Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$5.32Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$15.93Jun 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$374.19Jun 14, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$8.90Jun 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$67.41Jun 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$6.16Jun 14, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $142.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.