Understated-Patient
0xefde9ff487fae209ab6e3157a8acb4276f9c783d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$3.5K
Realised
$2.7K
Win rate
83%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2255 shares @ 40.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$167.85
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$800.00
$0.00
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
800 shares @ 75.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$796.80
$192.18
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
2300 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$632.50
$-57.50
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1024 shares @ 55.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$619.74
$55.71
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2770 shares @ 11.8¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$580.40
$251.99
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$480.00
$12.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 35.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.46
$232.46
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
3511 shares @ 11.8¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$386.22
$-26.66
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
416 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$371.97
$2.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11.46Jun 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.32Jun 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.55Jun 14, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14.26Jun 14, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24.66Jun 14, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$440.66Jun 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$74.34Jun 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$62.00Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$43.12Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$2.20Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$3.45Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5.74Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.51Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.06Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.08Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.01Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.12Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$2.28Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$3.41Jun 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.13Jun 14, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $72.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.