Amused-Manatee
0xefdf05341701ba716dbdaa32255e0f19a1ec97ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$592.37
Total PnL
$-352.49
Realised
$8.53
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
106 shares @ 48.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$52.66
$0.97
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
55 shares @ 90.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.30
$-0.70
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
58 shares @ 84.5¢·now 83.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$48.53
$-0.47
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.81
$2.37
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.10
$1.10
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
43 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$41.09
$0.65
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
42 shares @ 96.4¢·now 86.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.01
$-4.18
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
37 shares @ 73.4¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$30.33
$2.83
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$30.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.04Jun 3, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$10.02Jun 3, 17:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.15Jun 2, 13:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$9.75Jun 2, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$43.43Jun 2, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.12Jun 1, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released before June 2026?$20.16Jun 1, 14:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$29.18May 29, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$20.39May 29, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$20.16May 29, 14:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$10.02May 27, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $16.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".