Obvious-Proctor
0xeff94246c3c13ac7781f9f3c15063120694d365b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-935.71
Realised
$70.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
460 shares @ 65.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$340.72
$39.83
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 73.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$169.47
$-49.53
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?
129 shares @ 30.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$110.99
$72.27
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 66.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$109.50
$-88.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
410 shares @ 44.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$108.65
$-74.95
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
97 shares @ 68.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$92.83
$25.73
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
250 shares @ 51.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$66.25
$-63.25
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 20.6¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$61.00
$40.39
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?
106 shares @ 24.6¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.18
$30.14
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 52.2¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.16
$16.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$11.90Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$5.09Jul 7, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$5.52Jul 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$5.17Jul 5, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$5.20Jul 5, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$5.08Jul 5, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$25.00Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$14.68Jun 24, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$14.93Jun 24, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$10.93Jun 23, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$10.55Jun 23, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$10.55Jun 23, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$20.00Jun 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$10.18Jun 23, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$25.00Jun 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$10.35Jun 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$9.15Jun 22, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$30.00Jun 21, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$30.00Jun 20, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$15.92Jun 20, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $8.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.