MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Probability
56¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
+8.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$127.06
Probability (last 7 days)
+38.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6024.5h
- 04:29SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6025h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 51¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 52¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 59¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 51¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 56¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 65¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 47¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 66¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 64¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 48¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 48¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.0pp
to 58¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (68.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).