Colossal-Bake
0xeffb78f3dd98c82d2e4facb770694c19264e779d
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$314.40
Total PnL
$21.32
Realised
$-0.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- T1
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
284 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$284.00
$107.92
- NO
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?
19 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.00
$2.47
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$1.85
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$5.00
$2.55
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 10.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.40
$1.20
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
218 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-85.02
- SAINT JOSEPHS HAWKS
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- NO
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$11.88Jan 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$26.40Jan 15, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$5.07Jan 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$5.07Jan 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the first round by at least 4%?$2.56Jan 15, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$2.45Jan 15, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the first round by at least 4%?$1.92Jan 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.29Jan 15, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$2.55Jan 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.94Jan 15, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$2.55Jan 15, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$6.00Jan 15, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$6.60Jan 15, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$0.70Jan 15, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$2.80Jan 15, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.80Jan 14, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$14.49Jan 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$3.40Jan 14, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$4.08Jan 14, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$3.74Jan 14, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.