Ornate-Recollection
0xf05696dd48d3d591110bba285a86deea26e70316
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$7.12
Total PnL
$-359.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
164 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.39
$-0.25
- YES
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.83
$-4.17
- YES
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18?
1122 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?
1080 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ALEX BOLT
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakin
72 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-39.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
69 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-23.82
- REAL MADRID CF
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
68 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-42.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.69Jul 1, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.20Jul 1, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.15Jul 1, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.15Jul 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 1, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.61Jun 27, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.86Jun 27, 14:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.03Jun 26, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$16.00Jun 16, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $6.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.