0xf0a378b5ea0d5c49cfd98e3804b847dc80b14d0d
0xf0a378b5ea0d5c49cfd98e3804b847dc80b14d0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$84.48
Total PnL
$-919.28
Realised
$-37.40
Win rate
0%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
229 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$53.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
175 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.63
$-4.38
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
423 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-111.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
356 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
261 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-162.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
244 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
183 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-97.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?$36.75Aug 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?$57.64Aug 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$116.20Jul 19, 16:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$46.88Jul 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57.04Jul 15, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$199.65Jul 15, 05:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $63.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.