Vibrant-Housework-Civilisation
0xf0d53e18ff24a0d138ad11e4bc680af8fab6f640
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$11.29
Total PnL
$-180.66
Realised
$-3.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$45.00May 28, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$9.68May 28, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$8.89May 28, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$6.24May 28, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$10.00May 28, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 28, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 28, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 27?$0.60May 28, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00May 28, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.26May 28, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$1.04May 28, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$10.40May 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 28, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$1.00May 28, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.05May 28, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.05May 28, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 28, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.00May 28, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 03:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".