Knowing-Vein
0xf146776f03d21f3b9b267e412804c2797645405d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?
338 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?
101 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
8 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$162.30Jun 8, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$161.00Jun 7, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?$1.05Jun 7, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$1.08Jun 2, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.05Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.35Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?$135.14Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.08Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $19.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.