Somber-Rule
0xf156299d6b65a64f4c549ff7c1b11521313f8fbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$27.77
Total PnL
$-58.85
Realised
$-5.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
44 shares @ 25.1¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$5.91
$-2.09
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$4.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
47 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.25
- JAKUB MENSIK
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$8.02Jun 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$5.05Jun 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$5.12Jun 11, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$2.05Jun 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$5.12Jun 11, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.04Jun 11, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$5.11Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$6.11Jun 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$0.92Jun 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$0.97Jun 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.90Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$1.93Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.93Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.94Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1.95Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$1.96Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$1.98Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.