0xf16ae36de9992a88ae99af2e3fa39a5cbb861e3c
0xf16ae36de9992a88ae99af2e3fa39a5cbb861e3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
106
Open notional
$10.94
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
26000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
19000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?
19000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Jatiya Samajtantrik Dal win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
17744 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-17.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$18.75May 25, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$17.97May 25, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 6?$46.89Apr 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 6?$25.00Apr 6, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 6?$25.00Apr 6, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 6?$30.00Apr 6, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 6?$20.00Apr 6, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 1?$23.63Apr 3, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?$6.73Apr 1, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$10.00Mar 31, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 1?$10.00Mar 31, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?$5.00Mar 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on April 1?$5.00Mar 31, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 1?$10.00Mar 31, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?$21.00Mar 31, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 29?$10.00Mar 28, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 27?$16.67Mar 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?$21.50Mar 26, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 27?$6.00Mar 26, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 27?$8.76Mar 26, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".