Accurate-Racing
0xf1b1f3052f888389388dfb6ba7069856e75cf2fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$3.94
Total PnL
$-26.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.02
$-0.78
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-1.62
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 4.5%?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in May 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?$20.00Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$0.10Jul 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$0.12Jul 13, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jul 11, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLDua Lipa pregnant in 2026?$7.20Jul 10, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDua Lipa pregnant in 2026?$1.00Jul 9, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja Win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour: Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?$0.10Jul 5, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$0.25Jun 24, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$0.25Jun 24, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Faker Win an International Title in 2026?$4.33Jun 21, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faker Win an International Title in 2026?$1.00Jun 20, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SCOTUS let drug users own guns? $0.50Jun 18, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.00Jun 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.01Jun 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.98Jun 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.02Jun 15, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add at least 200k jobs in May?$0.00Jun 8, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.