Cylindrical-Liar
0xf1c0d539fbdb437b8d61409fbec07daa1900a5a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$104.80
Realised
$2.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2544 shares @ 81.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$25.97
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
1298 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$20.29
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1591 shares @ 57.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$962.60
$50.22
- YES
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
956 shares @ 83.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$784.14
$-15.86
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
748 shares @ 93.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$705.91
$5.91
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
710 shares @ 87.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$632.54
$10.98
- NO
LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?
521 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$497.40
$-2.60
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
418 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$366.09
$2.09
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
417 shares @ 84.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$344.16
$-6.91
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.50
$10.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$293.11Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$0.46Jun 14, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$45.24Jun 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$17.16Jun 14, 09:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$110.14Jun 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$256.77Jun 13, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$206.66Jun 13, 07:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$502.28Jun 12, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$805.23Jun 12, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?$500.80Jun 12, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$304.68Jun 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$200.19Jun 11, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$88.32Jun 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$64.00Jun 11, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$100.48Jun 11, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$502.46Jun 11, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$500.82Jun 11, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $190.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.