Pleasing-Policy
0xf20b7fb9398b11150950e402edda6d5089b48e31
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.82
Total PnL
$-13.33
Realised
$-1.28
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 39.1¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 27.5¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.75
$-1.25
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
338 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
553 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
- NO
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?$0.75Jun 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?$0.47Jun 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$0.38Jun 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.07Jun 4, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Jun 4, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.41Jun 4, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$2.52Jun 4, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$1.05May 1, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$1.37May 1, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$1.59May 1, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.89May 1, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.37Apr 24, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.