0xf22ab9d7b30d412b5a9fc9b054f8921c76f91697
0xf22ab9d7b30d412b5a9fc9b054f8921c76f91697
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.7K
Total PnL
$65.3K
Realised
$87.6K
Win rate
72%
149 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?
615 shares @ 40.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$535.11
$286.76
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
499 shares @ 40.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$499.15
$298.85
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
497 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$496.99
$313.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?
500 shares @ 24.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$467.50
$346.31
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
730 shares @ 44.1¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$448.80
$126.98
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
447 shares @ 81.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$447.00
$84.49
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?
480 shares @ 61.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$396.03
$100.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
384 shares @ 76.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$383.59
$91.68
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
383 shares @ 83.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$357.96
$39.44
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
500 shares @ 68.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$332.50
$-8.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 17, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 149 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
149 closed markets, 72% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 149 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.