Immediate-Sow
0xf2322ecfa270d1021ec00cb7892a27874bc6de43
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$52.37
Total PnL
$2.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
26 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$17.87
$-0.13
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.03
$0.12
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.04
$2.04
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.80
$0.06
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10 shares @ 49.3¢·now 54.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.38
$0.55
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.25
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$18.173h ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$9.912d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.932d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.912d ago
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$41.412d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$9.335d ago
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$9.435d ago
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$35.285d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$5.245d ago
- REDEEMWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?$11.725d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.255d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$10.225d ago
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?$4.8935d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $13.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 35d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
