Old-Fashioned-Pathology
0xf263e4f901e2250de02ed8181e9281a364db9a11
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.97
Total PnL
$-68.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
338 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
75 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
70 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 6AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$13.47Feb 28, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.08Feb 28, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.45Feb 9, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.00Jan 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 8, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$1.00Jan 7, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$3.00Jan 6, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Jan 6, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.00Jan 4, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$2.00Jan 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Jan 3, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 3, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Jan 3, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$3.04Jan 3, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$37.78Jan 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 3, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".