Failing-Larva
0xf269c4ba5851344e7ef588d98a391caa1426796f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.27
Total PnL
$-1.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.1¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during Monday news conference?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.00Apr 6, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$1.00Apr 6, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$1.00Apr 6, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$1.00Apr 6, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference?$1.00Apr 6, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?$1.00Apr 6, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during Monday news conference?$1.00Apr 6, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$1.00Apr 6, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 6, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 6, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 13:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.