Noisy-Vanilla
0xf2ca14ab0671c107fa9d0b95a8f82f6aa5eab599
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.26
Total PnL
$-2.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$2.84
$1.88
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$-0.88
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?
8 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 21?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00Apr 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$2.00Apr 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$3.00Apr 5, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$1.00Apr 5, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$1.00Apr 5, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$4.08Apr 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Jan 21, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?$1.00Jan 21, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$2.00Jan 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Jan 21, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$5.81Jan 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$5.00Jul 20, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?$5.21Jul 20, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$7.14May 8, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $250 in March?$0.00Apr 13, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced before April?$6.02Apr 13, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$15.23Apr 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high by March 31?$0.02Mar 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$4.38Mar 14, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.